Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-02 88484.273397 93346.859995 98206.080277 103422.909446 108861.688288 114361.244136 120339.120714
2025-02-09 80443.117711 87890.220412 95538.711624 103970.630055 112994.677636 122352.129845 132778.042864
2025-02-16 74261.590469 83428.120285 93048.367411 103875.911005 115700.814118 128200.754738 142390.942290
2025-02-23 69886.634601 80367.344454 91566.986120 104389.694775 118627.711160 133915.498586 151534.053895
2025-03-02 66044.141315 77532.926573 90006.335855 104502.605226 120832.127155 138603.145410 159349.341046
2025-03-09 63566.566301 76002.812873 89695.602555 105819.167203 124210.919704 144460.847592 168364.983034
2025-03-16 60352.602734 73431.797581 88025.899410 105425.247355 125507.467209 147860.794563 174521.794966
2025-03-23 58662.744146 72498.931875 88122.275098 106954.475863 128917.283862 153598.396827 183302.214638
2025-03-30 56813.165351 71269.114106 87778.219721 107886.516793 131568.377965 158421.037290 191011.851063
2025-04-06 54721.554292 69648.814538 86884.386053 108089.558488 133299.168523 162130.209300 197404.097952
2025-04-13 52669.478525 67984.094746 85855.074376 108054.998096 134685.290659 165390.401747 203243.888844
2025-04-20 51704.990151 67586.309121 86295.303779 109737.124632 138082.548212 171002.040251 211858.685551
2025-04-27 50757.321072 67191.786528 86737.008246 111437.367191 141542.022257 176754.978023 220747.923094
2025-05-04 49397.667221 66235.799077 86454.237185 112226.898503 143889.021437 181188.853226 228097.049026
2025-05-11 47703.352922 64797.402700 85522.494312 112170.668221 145169.191688 184320.356160 233879.671913
2025-05-18 46411.282774 63818.969897 85117.648803 112726.963684 147170.538266 188307.697608 240698.454158
2025-05-25 44990.710368 62625.054442 84397.513135 112849.170270 148604.613864 191587.543259 246656.191216
2025-06-01 44243.259459 62270.480475 84711.451951 114250.511969 151617.835573 196801.367357 254998.522474
2025-06-08 42715.259225 60847.083350 83619.817185 113831.474257 152321.326792 199154.278819 259820.438579
2025-06-15 42169.749660 60696.038816 84142.845004 115458.500788 155597.066055 204697.123731 268608.598814
2025-06-22 41379.513041 60191.117776 84184.873619 116450.005911 158059.209991 209232.329466 276167.052862
2025-06-29 40299.980826 59264.141260 83647.171986 116665.988305 159514.678376 212502.055976 282154.276490
2025-07-06 39165.861375 58229.224790 82936.901733 116629.225938 160624.566932 215326.105702 287584.430055